![]() ![]() ![]() Relatedly, political scientist James Chowning Davies has proposed a J curve of revolutions which contends that periods of wealth and advancement are followed by periods of worsening conditions, leading to a revolution. In 1949, Harlan Cleveland introduced the concept of a revolution of rising expectations, which in his Cold War context he considered particularly relevant to the Third World. According to the Tocqueville effect, a revolution is likely to occur after an improvement in social conditions, in contrast to Marx's theory of revolution as a result of progressive immiseration of the proletariat (deterioration of conditions). ![]() The effect suggests a link between social equality or concessions by the regime and unintended consequences, as social reforms can raise expectations that can't be matched. For instance, after greater social justice is achieved, there may be more fervent opposition to even smaller social injustices than before. Another way to describe the effect is the aphorism "the appetite grows by what it feeds on". The effect is based on Alexis de Tocqueville's observations on the French Revolution and later reforms in Europe and the United States. The Tocqueville effect (also known as the Tocqueville paradox) is the phenomenon in which, as social conditions and opportunities improve, social frustration grows more quickly. ![]()
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